The Fundamentals Of Technical Analysis

Technical analysis is appointed to analyze market movement (the movement of prices, volumes and open interests) using the information obtained for a past time. Mainly, it is the chart study of past behavior of currencies prices in order to forecast their future performance. It is one of the most significant tools available for the forecasting of financial markets. Such analysis has been an increasingly utilized forecasting tool over the last two centuries.

The main strength of technical analysis is the flexibility with regard to the underlying instrument, regarding the markets and regarding the time frame. A trader who deals several currencies but specializes in one may easily apply the same technical expertise to trading another currency. A trader who specializes in spot trading can make a smooth transition to dealing currency futures by using chart studies, because the same technical principles apply over and over again, regardless of the market. Finally, different players have different trading styles, objectives, and time frames.

Technical analysis is easy to compute what is important while the technical services are becoming increasingly sophisticated and reasonably priced. Prior to this historic open market intervention, technical analysis provided ample selling signals.

Price
The Fundamental Principles of Technical Analysis are based on the Dow Theory with the following main thesis:

• The price is a comprehensive reflection of all the market forces. At any given time, all market information and forces are reflected in the currency prices.
• Price movements are historically repetitive.
• Price movements are trend followers.
• The market has three trends: primary, secondary, and minor. The primary trend has three phases: accumulation, run-up/run-down, and distribution. In the accumulation phase the shrewdest traders enter new positions. In the run-up/run-down phase, the majority of the market finally "sees" the move and jumps on the bandwagon.
Finally, in the distribution phase, the keenest traders take their profits and close their positions while the general trading interest slows down in an overshooting market. The secondary trend is a correction to the primary trend and may retrace one third, one-half or two-thirds from the primary trend.
• Volume must confirm the trend.
• Trends exist until their reversals are confirmed.